{
 "schema_version": 1,
 "model": "finite-horizon optimal stopping; Gaussian martingale forecast on a 1 cm grid; teaching values",
 "params": {
  "threshold_cm": 300,
  "horizon_h": 24,
  "sigma_step_cm_per_sqrt_h": 4.0,
  "warn_hours": 4,
  "closing_hours": 2,
  "q_fault": 0.1,
  "r_repair": 0.7,
  "reopen_hours": 6,
  "prior_mean_cm": 280.0,
  "prior_sd_cm": 20.0,
  "p_not_closed_by_order_lead": {
   "6": 0.1,
   "7": 0.030000000000000006,
   "8": 0.009000000000000003,
   "9": 0.0027000000000000014,
   "10": 0.0008100000000000005
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 },
 "results": {
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    "margin": 12,
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    "p_miss": 0.0025768451430934606,
    "p_exceed": 0.15268159383739477,
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    "margin": 15,
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    "margin": 18,
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   "criterion_as_soon_as_reached": {
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  "5000": {
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 },
 "replay_storms": [
  "Severe surge",
  "Late rise",
  "Early scare",
  "Near miss, closed anyway",
  "Closing fault",
  "Quiet storm",
  "Narrow exceedance",
  "Threshold rule waits too long"
 ]
}